Predictors | 2015 | 2020 | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
OR (95% BCI) | aOR (95% BCI) | OR (95% BCI) | aOR (95% BCI) | |
Climatic/environmental factors | Â | Â | Â | Â |
Rainfall | 2.94 (1.48,5.75)* | 1.46 (1.04,2.05)* | 0.88 (0.44,1.77) | 1.32 (0.68,2.55) |
Day LST | 1.04 (0.54,2.01) | Â | 1.18 (0.65,2.10) | Â |
Night LST | 5.25 (2.43,11.19)* | 1.35 (0.68,2.74) | 1.50 (0.70,3.18) | Â |
NDVI, 0.13–0.47 | 1 |  | 1 |  |
0.48–0.60 | 2.55 (0.88,7.12) |  | 0.84 (0.34,2.04) |  |
0.61–0.78 | 0.99 (0.33,2.88) |  | 1.91 (0.78,4.62) |  |
Nightlights | 0.26 (0.08,0.84)* | 0.16 (0.06,0.43)* | 0.69 (0.45,1.00)* | 0.73 (0.47,1.12) |
Altitude | 0.35 (0.16,0.77)* | Â | 0.37 (0.15,0.86)* | 0.35 (0.15,0.76)* |
Altitude, 5–1189 m | 1 |  | 1 |  |
 1190–1749 | 1.16 (0.54,2.55) | 1.11 (0.57,2.2) | 0.67 (0.34,1.34) |  |
 1750–2990 | 0.29 (0.11,0.81)* | 0.43 (0.15,1.27) | 0.31 (0.10,0.95)* |  |
Distance to permanent water | 0.32 (0.12,0.80)* | 0.75 (0.38,1.57) | 0.57 (0.25,1.30) | Â |
Crop cover | 1.46 (0.68,3.15) | Â | 1.71 (0.92,3.19) | Â |
Interventions | Â | Â | Â | Â |
Proportion of households with at least one ITN | 2.08 (1.10,3.86)* | 1.93 (1.13,3.28)* | 1.28 (0.87,1.88) | Â |
Proportion of households with at least one ITN for every two people | 0.54 (0.36,0.79)* | Â | 0.89 (0.67,1.18) | Â |
Proportion of individuals with access to an ITN in their household | 0.58 (0.33,0.99)* | Â | 0.73 (0.52,1.03) | Â |
Proportion of individuals that slept under an ITN the previous night | 1.33 (0.71,2.38) | Â | 0.64 (0.45,0.91)* | 0.59 (0.42,0.84)* |
Proportion of children under 5 years old who slept under an ITN | 0.76 (0.45,1.38) | Â | 1.07 (0.81,1.42) | Â |
Proportion of existing ITNs used the previous night | 2.71 (1.53,4.81)* | Â | 0.70 (0.50,0.98)* | Â |
ACT use | 1.67 (1.21,2.38)* | 1.27 (0.96,1.71) | 1.34 (1.14,1.57)* | 1.29 (1.1,1.51)* |
Mixing proportion | Â | 0.29 (0.02,0.94) | Â | 0.22 (0.01,0.84) |
Spatial variance | Â | 6.41 (1.19,17.5) | Â | 5.48 (2.43,10.44) |
Range (km) | Â | 4.42 (1.79,8.23) | Â | 131.68 (76.44,210.49) |
DIC | Â | 488.67 | Â | 665.19 |