Table 2 Forecasts of counts in numbers of takeaways in management zones around schools, in non-adopter local authorities of the non-London urban with major conurbation rural urban class, to which Manchester belongs, in England. Corresponding rates of change also shown
Year | Count of takeaways | Cumulative rate of change | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Estimate | Lower bound of 95% forecast interval | Upper bound of 95% forecast interval | Estimate | Lower bound of 95% forecast interval | Upper bound of 95% forecast interval | |
Baseline year (2015) | 4451.0 | - | ||||
Forecast | ||||||
2022 | 6173.6 | 5925.6 | 6421.6 | 38.7% | 33.1% | 44.3% |
2023 | 6374.2 | 6023.5 | 6725.0 | 43.2% | 35.3% | 51.1% |
2024 | 6574.8 | 6145.2 | 7004.4 | 47.7% | 38.1% | 57.4% |
2025 | 6775.4 | 6279.4 | 7271.4 | 52.2% | 41.1% | 63.4% |
2026 | 6976.0 | 6421.4 | 7530.6 | 56.7% | 44.3% | 69.2% |
2027 | 7176.6 | 6569.1 | 7784.1 | 61.2% | 47.6% | 74.9% |
2028 | 7377.2 | 6721.0 | 8033.4 | 65.7% | 51.0% | 80.5% |
2029 | 7577.8 | 6876.3 | 8279.3 | 70.2% | 54.5% | 86.0% |
2030 | 7778.4 | 7034.4 | 8522.5 | 74.8% | 58.0% | 91.5% |
2031 | 7979.0 | 7194.7 | 8763.3 | 79.3% | 61.6% | 96.9% |