Table 3 Forecast population-level per capita exposure to takeaways within management zones and combined home, work and commuting route domains in Manchester LA. Corresponding rates of change also shown
Year | Exposure to takeaways per person | Cumulative rate of change | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Estimate | Lower bound of 95% forecast interval | Upper bound of 95% forecast interval | Estimate | Lower bound of 95% forecast interval | Upper bound of 95% forecast interval | |
Baseline year (2015) | 82.65 | - | ||||
Forecast | ||||||
2022 | 114.63 | 110.03 | 119.24 | 38.7% | 33.1% | 44.3% |
2023 | 118.36 | 111.84 | 124.87 | 43.2% | 35.3% | 51.1% |
2024 | 122.08 | 114.10 | 130.06 | 47.7% | 38.1% | 57.4% |
2025 | 125.81 | 116.59 | 135.02 | 52.2% | 41.1% | 63.4% |
2026 | 129.53 | 119.23 | 139.83 | 56.7% | 44.3% | 69.2% |
2027 | 133.25 | 121.97 | 144.54 | 61.2% | 47.6% | 74.9% |
2028 | 136.98 | 124.80 | 149.16 | 65.7% | 51.0% | 80.5% |
2029 | 140.70 | 127.68 | 153.73 | 70.2% | 54.5% | 86.0% |
2030 | 144.43 | 130.61 | 158.24 | 74.8% | 58.0% | 91.5% |
2031 | 148.15 | 133.59 | 162.72 | 79.3% | 61.6% | 96.9% |